AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Lumezzane

21 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Lumezzane

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 28.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% 2.25 DRAW 30.3% 3.10 AWAY 27.9% 3.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Lumezzane has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Lumezzane

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Lumezzane

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Lumezzane

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi ↑ +0.15 (+7.1%)

Lumezzane ↑ +0.12 (+3.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.