ASD Union Arzignanochiampo vs Renate

20 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

Renate

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% DRAW 29.9% AWAY 30.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.0% 2.51 DRAW 29.8% 3.20 AWAY 32.2% 2.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Renate

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours ASD Union Arzignanochiampo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Renate

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Renate

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo ↑ +0.16 (+6.8%)

Renate ↑ +0.21 (+7.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.