Trento vs Union Brescia

13 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Trento

Union Brescia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% DRAW 32.4% AWAY 39.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.3% 3.60 DRAW 31.5% 3.00 AWAY 42.2% 2.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Trento

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Trento Union Brescia

Shots 16.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Trento, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Trento Union Brescia

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.0

Union Brescia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Trento Union Brescia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Trento ↑ +0.83 (+30.0%)

Union Brescia ↓ -0.21 (-8.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.