ASD Union Arzignanochiampo vs Desenzano

13 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

Desenzano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% DRAW 30.4% AWAY 25.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.23 DRAW 30.3% 3.10 AWAY 27.5% 3.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Desenzano

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours ASD Union Arzignanochiampo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Desenzano

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Desenzano

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo ↑ +0.12 (+5.7%)

Desenzano = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.