Trento vs Lecco

07 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Trento

Lecco

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% DRAW 31.0% AWAY 20.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% 2.06 DRAW 31.0% 3.10 AWAY 22.3% 4.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Trento

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Trento Lecco

Shots 17.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Trento, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Trento Lecco

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Trento Lecco

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Trento ↑ +0.12 (+6.2%)

Lecco ↑ +0.40 (+10.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.