Municipal Pococi (W) vs Deportivo Saprissa (W)

06 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Municipal Pococi (W)

Deportivo Saprissa (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 2.5% DRAW 6.4% AWAY 91.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 3.3% 29.00 DRAW 8.0% 12.00 AWAY 88.7% 1.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportivo Saprissa (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Municipal Pococi (W) Deportivo Saprissa (W)

Shots 7.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Municipal Pococi (W) Deportivo Saprissa (W)

Shots allowed 22.5 · On target allowed 11.5 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Deportivo Saprissa (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Municipal Pococi (W) Deportivo Saprissa (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Saprissa (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Municipal Pococi (W) ↑ +6.00 (+26.1%)

Deportivo Saprissa (W) ↑ +0.02 (+1.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.