FC Honka (W) vs EBK (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

FC Honka (W)

EBK (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 30.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.7% 2.17 DRAW 25.3% 3.75 AWAY 31.1% 3.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Honka (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Honka (W) EBK (W)

Shots 9.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Honka (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Honka (W) EBK (W)

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.5

EBK (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Honka (W) EBK (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FC Honka (W) ↓ -0.03 (-1.4%)

EBK (W) ↑ +0.50 (+19.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.