Casertana vs Team Altamura

15 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Casertana

Team Altamura

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.6% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 16.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.6% 1.64 DRAW 26.0% 3.70 AWAY 15.4% 6.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Team Altamura

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Casertana Team Altamura

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Team Altamura, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Casertana Team Altamura

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Casertana Team Altamura

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Casertana ↓ -0.14 (-7.9%)

Team Altamura ↑ +1.88 (+43.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.