Scafatese vs Monopoli

15 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Scafatese

Monopoli

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.4% DRAW 31.8% AWAY 32.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.7% 2.65 DRAW 31.4% 3.10 AWAY 32.0% 3.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Monopoli has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Scafatese Monopoli

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Monopoli, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Scafatese Monopoli

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Scafatese Monopoli

The combined recent performance profile favours Monopoli.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Scafatese ↑ +0.15 (+6.0%)

Monopoli ↑ +0.49 (+19.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.