Aland United (W) vs KuPS (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Aland United (W)

KuPS (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.9% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 37.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% 2.45 DRAW 26.1% 3.64 AWAY 35.2% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: KuPS (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aland United (W) KuPS (W)

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 16.0 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours KuPS (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aland United (W) KuPS (W)

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aland United (W) KuPS (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours KuPS (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Aland United (W) ↑ +0.30 (+14.0%)

KuPS (W) = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.