FC Moravia vs FC Aserri

26 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

FC Moravia

FC Aserri

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.5% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 25.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% 2.05 DRAW 27.5% 3.42 AWAY 26.7% 3.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Aserri

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Moravia FC Aserri

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 15.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Aserri, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Moravia FC Aserri

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 4.8

FC Moravia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Moravia FC Aserri

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Moravia ↓ -0.28 (-12.0%)

FC Aserri ↑ +0.77 (+27.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.