Guadalupe FC vs CS Uruguay de Coronado

06 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Guadalupe FC

CS Uruguay de Coronado

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.2% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 18.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.0% 1.74 DRAW 25.1% 3.75 AWAY 20.9% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Guadalupe FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.2% win probability, compared with 54.0% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Guadalupe FC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guadalupe FC CS Uruguay de Coronado

Shots 14.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Guadalupe FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guadalupe FC CS Uruguay de Coronado

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guadalupe FC CS Uruguay de Coronado

The combined recent performance profile favours Guadalupe FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Guadalupe FC ↑ +0.21 (+13.5%)

CS Uruguay de Coronado ↓ -0.25 (-5.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.