Cavese vs AC Savoia 1908

26 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Cavese

AC Savoia 1908

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% DRAW 30.5% AWAY 26.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% 2.13 DRAW 30.1% 3.14 AWAY 25.5% 3.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AC Savoia 1908

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cavese AC Savoia 1908

Shots 8.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours AC Savoia 1908, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cavese AC Savoia 1908

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Cavese has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cavese AC Savoia 1908

The combined recent performance profile favours AC Savoia 1908.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Cavese ↑ +0.30 (+16.2%)

AC Savoia 1908 ↓ -0.10 (-2.6%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.