Bari vs Cosenza

26 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Bari

Cosenza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.9% DRAW 19.1% AWAY 10.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.2% 1.34 DRAW 19.2% 4.97 AWAY 9.5% 10.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bari Cosenza

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bari Cosenza

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bari Cosenza

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Bari ↓ -0.14 (-9.5%)

Cosenza ↑ +3.75 (+60.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.