AZ Picerno ASD vs Catania

15 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

AZ Picerno ASD

Catania

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.0% DRAW 31.6% AWAY 41.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.4% 3.20 DRAW 31.4% 3.00 AWAY 39.2% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Catania has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AZ Picerno ASD Catania

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 14.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Catania, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AZ Picerno ASD Catania

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Catania has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AZ Picerno ASD Catania

The combined recent performance profile favours Catania.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

AZ Picerno ASD ↓ -0.20 (-5.9%)

Catania ↑ +0.42 (+21.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.