Giugliano vs Cosenza

15 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Giugliano

Cosenza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 24.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% 2.08 DRAW 29.3% 3.25 AWAY 25.0% 3.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Giugliano has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Giugliano Cosenza

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Giugliano Cosenza

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Giugliano Cosenza

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Giugliano ↓ -0.23 (-10.0%)

Cosenza ↑ +0.92 (+31.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.