Foggia vs AC Savoia 1908

15 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Foggia

AC Savoia 1908

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.0% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 17.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% 1.82 DRAW 28.7% 3.30 AWAY 19.2% 4.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Foggia AC Savoia 1908

Shots 14.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Foggia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Foggia AC Savoia 1908

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Foggia AC Savoia 1908

The combined recent performance profile favours Foggia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Foggia ↓ 0.00 (-0.1%)

AC Savoia 1908 ↑ +1.14 (+30.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.