Crotone vs Inter Milan U23

15 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

Crotone

Inter Milan U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.5% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 21.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% 2.02 DRAW 29.1% 3.24 AWAY 24.2% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Crotone relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.5% win probability, compared with 46.7% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Crotone has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Crotone Inter Milan U23

Shots 17.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Crotone, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Crotone Inter Milan U23

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Crotone has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Crotone Inter Milan U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Crotone.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Crotone ↓ -0.20 (-9.0%)

Inter Milan U23 ↑ +0.80 (+25.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.