Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio

15 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Cavese

Sorrento Calcio

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% DRAW 31.7% AWAY 26.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.2% 2.28 DRAW 31.3% 3.00 AWAY 27.4% 3.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Cavese has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cavese Sorrento Calcio

Shots 11.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cavese Sorrento Calcio

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cavese Sorrento Calcio

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cavese ↑ +0.08 (+3.6%)

Sorrento Calcio ↑ +0.43 (+14.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.