Sorrento Calcio vs AZ Picerno ASD

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Sorrento Calcio

AZ Picerno ASD

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% DRAW 33.1% AWAY 33.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.9% 2.87 DRAW 32.5% 3.00 AWAY 33.6% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AZ Picerno ASD

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sorrento Calcio AZ Picerno ASD

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours AZ Picerno ASD, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sorrento Calcio AZ Picerno ASD

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sorrento Calcio AZ Picerno ASD

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sorrento Calcio ↑ +0.50 (+21.1%)

AZ Picerno ASD ↑ +0.03 (+0.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.