Monopoli vs Foggia

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Monopoli

Foggia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 24.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% 1.90 DRAW 26.7% 3.49 AWAY 24.1% 3.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Foggia

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Monopoli Foggia

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 14.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Monopoli Foggia

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Monopoli Foggia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Monopoli ↓ -0.37 (-16.3%)

Foggia ↑ +0.95 (+32.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.