Catania vs Cosenza

07 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Catania

Cosenza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.7% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 15.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.7% 1.63 DRAW 25.8% 3.64 AWAY 16.5% 5.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Catania

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Catania Cosenza

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Catania, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Catania Cosenza

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Catania Cosenza

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Catania ↑ +0.21 (+14.6%)

Cosenza ↓ -2.25 (-28.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.