Lille U19 vs Valenciennes U19

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Lille U19

Valenciennes U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 29.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% 2.10 DRAW 24.9% 3.70 AWAY 31.4% 2.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Lille U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.5% win probability, compared with 43.8% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lille U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lille U19 Valenciennes U19

Shots 15.5 · On target 7.5 Shots 14.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Lille U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lille U19 Valenciennes U19

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lille U19 Valenciennes U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lille U19 ↑ +0.05 (+2.4%)

Valenciennes U19 ↑ +0.13 (+4.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.