Troyes U19 vs Montfermeil FC U19

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Troyes U19

Montfermeil FC U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.0% DRAW 19.3% AWAY 12.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.2% 1.40 DRAW 20.4% 4.55 AWAY 13.4% 6.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Troyes U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Troyes U19 Montfermeil FC U19

Shots 11.8 · On target 6.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Troyes U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Troyes U19 Montfermeil FC U19

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Troyes U19 Montfermeil FC U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Troyes U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Troyes U19 = (0.0%)

Montfermeil FC U19 ↑ +1.15 (+20.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.