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Poland Youth League · PL

Escola Varsovia U19 vs Legia Warsaw U19

25 Oct 2026 · 13:15
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Escola Varsovia U19. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. Across the matches with available shooting data, their shooting balance has been moderately positive.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Across the matches with available shooting data, their shooting balance has been moderately positive.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 3.70 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.85. At this price, a home win for Escola Varsovia U19 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Escola Varsovia U19
STOCHASTICBET 26.0%
BET365 24.0% odd 3.70
DIFFERENCE +2.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.3%
BET365 21.1% odd 4.20
DIFFERENCE +0.2 pp
AWAY
Legia Warsaw U19
STOCHASTICBET 52.8%
BET365 54.9% odd 1.62
DIFFERENCE -2.2 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 22:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Legia Warsaw U19

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Escola Varsovia U19 Legia Warsaw U19
Shots 13.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 17.0 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Legia Warsaw U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Escola Varsovia U19 Legia Warsaw U19
Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Escola Varsovia U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Escola Varsovia U19 Legia Warsaw U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Poland Youth League · 132 matches with scores · 89 with shots · coverage 67.4%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Escola Varsovia U196 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LDLDLW
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
Legia Warsaw U196 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WDLWWD
Shot data available for 5/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Escola Varsovia U19Home team
−1.013.2 actual
Legia Warsaw U19Away team
+1.816.0 actual
Escola Varsovia U19: 13.2 · league average 14.2 · 5 valid matchesLegia Warsaw U19: 16.0 · league average 14.2 · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Escola Varsovia U19Home team
−2.811.0 actual
Legia Warsaw U19Away team
−0.213.6 actual
Escola Varsovia U19: 11.0 · league average 13.8 · 5 valid matchesLegia Warsaw U19: 13.6 · league average 13.8 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Escola Varsovia U19Home team
−0.35.6 actual
Legia Warsaw U19Away team
+0.96.8 actual
Escola Varsovia U19: 5.6 · league average 5.9 · 5 valid matchesLegia Warsaw U19: 6.8 · league average 5.9 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Escola Varsovia U19Home team
−1.93.8 actual
Legia Warsaw U19Away team
+0.36.0 actual
Escola Varsovia U19: 3.8 · league average 5.7 · 5 valid matchesLegia Warsaw U19: 6.0 · league average 5.7 · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Escola Varsovia U19Home team
−0.930.67 actual
Legia Warsaw U19Away team
+1.403.00 actual
Escola Varsovia U19: 0.67 · league average 1.60 · 6 valid matchesLegia Warsaw U19: 3.00 · league average 1.60 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Escola Varsovia U19Home team
−5.7 pp6.1% actual
Legia Warsaw U19Away team
+5.7 pp17.5% actual
Escola Varsovia U19: 6.1% · league average 11.8% · 5 valid matchesLegia Warsaw U19: 17.5% · league average 11.8% · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Escola Varsovia U19Home team
−1.2 pp10.9% actual
Legia Warsaw U19Away team
+4.0 pp16.2% actual
Escola Varsovia U19: 10.9% · league average 12.1% · 5 valid matchesLegia Warsaw U19: 16.2% · league average 12.1% · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

Escola Varsovia U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away0–3——
14/10/2026Home0–07 / 72 / 4
10/10/2026Home3–411 / 176 / 7
03/10/2026Away0–011 / 93 / 2
20/09/2026Away0–226 / 912 / 4
12/09/2026Home1–011 / 135 / 2
Legia Warsaw U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away4–3——
10/10/2026Home3–329 / 1412 / 6
04/10/2026Away2–313 / 157 / 8
26/09/2026Home3–211 / 134 / 5
20/09/2026Away3–015 / 95 / 3
12/09/2026Home3–312 / 176 / 8

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.