Vis Pesaro vs AS Ostia Mare

05 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Vis Pesaro

AS Ostia Mare

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 32.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% 2.24 DRAW 27.7% 3.30 AWAY 31.5% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Vis Pesaro

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vis Pesaro AS Ostia Mare

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 5.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Vis Pesaro, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vis Pesaro AS Ostia Mare

Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.8

AS Ostia Mare has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vis Pesaro AS Ostia Mare

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Vis Pesaro ↑ +0.12 (+5.7%)

AS Ostia Mare ↓ -0.31 (-9.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.