US Latina Calcio vs Atalanta U23

26 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.0 pp

US Latina Calcio

Atalanta U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 27.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% 2.25 DRAW 28.6% 3.16 AWAY 31.1% 2.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates US Latina Calcio clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.3% win probability, compared with 40.2% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: US Latina Calcio

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

US Latina Calcio Atalanta U23

Shots 15.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

US Latina Calcio Atalanta U23

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0

US Latina Calcio has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

US Latina Calcio Atalanta U23

The combined recent performance profile favours US Latina Calcio.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

US Latina Calcio = (0.0%)

Atalanta U23 ↑ +0.01 (+0.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.