FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno

21 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Livorno

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% DRAW 32.1% AWAY 30.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% 2.38 DRAW 31.5% 2.95 AWAY 29.4% 3.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Livorno has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Livorno

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Livorno

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Livorno

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

Livorno ↑ +0.02 (+0.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.