Campobasso vs ASD Pineto Calcio

20 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Campobasso

ASD Pineto Calcio

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% DRAW 30.1% AWAY 25.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.15 DRAW 29.8% 3.25 AWAY 25.2% 3.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: ASD Pineto Calcio

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Campobasso ASD Pineto Calcio

Shots 12.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Campobasso ASD Pineto Calcio

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Campobasso ASD Pineto Calcio

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Campobasso ↑ +0.35 (+19.4%)

ASD Pineto Calcio ↓ -0.05 (-1.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.