Pescara vs Gubbio

16 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Pescara

Gubbio

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.6% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 17.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.3% 1.58 DRAW 22.3% 4.21 AWAY 18.4% 5.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Pescara

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pescara Gubbio

Shots 14.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pescara Gubbio

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Pescara has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pescara Gubbio

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Pescara ↓ -0.06 (-3.4%)

Gubbio ↑ +0.34 (+7.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.