FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs AC Reggiana

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

AC Reggiana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.9% DRAW 32.0% AWAY 34.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% 2.90 DRAW 31.5% 3.00 AWAY 36.0% 2.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AC Reggiana

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 AC Reggiana

Shots 10.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 AC Reggiana

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 AC Reggiana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 ↓ -0.30 (-9.4%)

AC Reggiana ↑ +0.57 (+27.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.