US Latina Calcio vs Forli

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

US Latina Calcio

Forli

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.0% DRAW 30.5% AWAY 28.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% 2.32 DRAW 30.4% 3.00 AWAY 30.3% 3.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: US Latina Calcio

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

US Latina Calcio Forli

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

US Latina Calcio Forli

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5

US Latina Calcio has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

US Latina Calcio Forli

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

US Latina Calcio ↓ -0.03 (-1.3%)

Forli ↑ +0.08 (+2.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.