Campobasso vs Gubbio

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Campobasso

Gubbio

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.9% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 18.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.4% 1.79 DRAW 28.0% 3.36 AWAY 19.6% 4.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Campobasso has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Campobasso Gubbio

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Campobasso Gubbio

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Campobasso has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Campobasso Gubbio

The combined recent performance profile favours Campobasso.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Campobasso ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

Gubbio ↑ +0.11 (+2.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.