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Tanzania Premier League · TZ

Azam FC vs Namungo FC

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00
NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp
Azam FC
Namungo FC
HOME 74.1% DRAW 17.5% AWAY 8.4%
HOME 71.7% 1.25 DRAW 18.9% 4.75 AWAY 9.4% 9.50

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Azam FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Azam FC Namungo FC
Shots 13.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Azam FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Azam FC Namungo FC
Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Azam FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Azam FC Namungo FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Azam FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Azam FC = (0.0%)
Namungo FC ↑ +4.30 (+45.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.