TRA United vs Mbeya City

04 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

TRA United

Mbeya City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% DRAW 31.8% AWAY 29.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% 2.24 DRAW 31.2% 2.91 AWAY 28.3% 3.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mbeya City has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

TRA United Mbeya City

Shots 8.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

TRA United Mbeya City

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Mbeya City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

TRA United Mbeya City

The combined recent performance profile favours Mbeya City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

TRA United ↑ +0.04 (+1.8%)

Mbeya City ↑ +0.01 (+0.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.