Grindavik/Njardvik (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Throttur Reykjavik (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 42.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% 2.88 DRAW 25.9% 3.56 AWAY 42.1% 2.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Throttur Reykjavik (W)

Shots 11.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Grindavik/Njardvik (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Throttur Reykjavik (W)

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Throttur Reykjavik (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Throttur Reykjavik (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) ↑ +0.48 (+19.8%)

Throttur Reykjavik (W) ↓ -0.21 (-8.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.