Deportes Quindio vs Llaneros

03 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT AWAY +5.8 pp

Deportes Quindio

Llaneros

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.4% DRAW 29.9% AWAY 44.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.1% 3.10 DRAW 31.1% 3.00 AWAY 38.8% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Llaneros significantly higher than the market does.

Our model estimates a 44.6% win probability, compared with 38.8% implied by the market. This 5.8 percentage-point gap, supported by 35 historically comparable matches, highlights a significant divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Deportes Quindio has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportes Quindio Llaneros

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 7.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Deportes Quindio, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportes Quindio Llaneros

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Deportes Quindio has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportes Quindio Llaneros

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportes Quindio.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportes Quindio ↑ +0.42 (+16.2%)

Llaneros ↑ +0.27 (+10.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.