Phnom Penh Crown vs Naga World FC

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Phnom Penh Crown

Naga World FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.8% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 10.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.8% 1.33 DRAW 20.2% 4.60 AWAY 10.0% 9.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Phnom Penh Crown

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Phnom Penh Crown Naga World FC

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 17.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Naga World FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Phnom Penh Crown Naga World FC

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Phnom Penh Crown has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Phnom Penh Crown Naga World FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Phnom Penh Crown.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Phnom Penh Crown ↓ -0.12 (-8.3%)

Naga World FC ↑ +4.10 (+78.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.