Hearts of Oak vs Berekum Chelsea

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Hearts of Oak

Berekum Chelsea

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% DRAW 32.5% AWAY 19.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% 1.89 DRAW 31.4% 3.00 AWAY 18.8% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hearts of Oak

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hearts of Oak Berekum Chelsea

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Hearts of Oak, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hearts of Oak Berekum Chelsea

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 0.8 · On target allowed 0.5

Berekum Chelsea has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hearts of Oak Berekum Chelsea

The combined recent performance profile favours Berekum Chelsea.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Hearts of Oak ↑ +0.17 (+9.6%)

Berekum Chelsea = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.