Al-Shamal SC vs Al-Wakrah SC

10 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Al-Shamal SC

Al-Wakrah SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 32.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.1% 2.33 DRAW 26.3% 3.64 AWAY 32.7% 2.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Al-Wakrah SC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al-Shamal SC Al-Wakrah SC

Shots 10.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Al-Shamal SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al-Shamal SC Al-Wakrah SC

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Al-Wakrah SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al-Shamal SC Al-Wakrah SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Al-Shamal SC ↓ -0.26 (-10.0%)

Al-Wakrah SC ↑ +0.47 (+19.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.