Cardoso Moreira vs FC Rio de Janeiro

13 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Cardoso Moreira

FC Rio de Janeiro

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.0% DRAW 18.3% AWAY 11.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.1% 1.33 DRAW 18.7% 5.00 AWAY 11.2% 8.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cardoso Moreira

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cardoso Moreira FC Rio de Janeiro

Shots 7.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Cardoso Moreira, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cardoso Moreira FC Rio de Janeiro

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.0

FC Rio de Janeiro has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cardoso Moreira FC Rio de Janeiro

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Cardoso Moreira ↓ -0.03 (-2.0%)

FC Rio de Janeiro ↑ +2.22 (+36.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.