Barra Mansa vs 7 de Abril

14 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Barra Mansa

7 de Abril

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.9% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 28.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% 1.91 DRAW 25.1% 3.60 AWAY 27.6% 3.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Barra Mansa

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barra Mansa 7 de Abril

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Barra Mansa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barra Mansa 7 de Abril

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.8

7 de Abril has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barra Mansa 7 de Abril

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Barra Mansa ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

7 de Abril ↑ +0.08 (+2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.