Buzios vs Cardoso Moreira

06 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Buzios

Cardoso Moreira

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.5% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 60.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.1% 7.00 DRAW 22.4% 4.10 AWAY 64.5% 1.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Buzios

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Buzios Cardoso Moreira

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 5.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Buzios, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Buzios Cardoso Moreira

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Cardoso Moreira has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Buzios Cardoso Moreira

The combined recent performance profile favours Buzios.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Buzios ↑ +3.50 (+100.0%)

Cardoso Moreira ↓ -0.48 (-25.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.