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Azerbaijan Premier League · AZ

Imisli vs FK Sumqayit

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for FK Sumqayit. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.44 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.42. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for an away win for FK Sumqayit, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Imisli
STOCHASTICBET 29.0%
PINNACLE 31.7% odd 2.94
DIFFERENCE -2.8 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 29.7%
PINNACLE 30.0% odd 3.11
DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
FK Sumqayit
STOCHASTICBET 41.4%
PINNACLE 38.2% odd 2.44
DIFFERENCE +3.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 10:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

FK Sumqayit has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Imisli FK Sumqayit
Shots 10.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 16.8 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output favours FK Sumqayit, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Imisli FK Sumqayit
Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0

FK Sumqayit has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Imisli FK Sumqayit

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Sumqayit.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 10:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.17 pp +1.46 pp
DRAW -0.62 pp -0.49 pp
AWAY +0.46 pp -0.97 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +3.02 pp +4.09 pp
DRAW -0.12 pp -0.15 pp
AWAY -2.91 pp -3.94 pp

Market Agreement: HOME UP · AWAY DOWN

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.