FK Sumqayit vs Shamakhi FK

12 Sep 2026 · 17:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

FK Sumqayit

Shamakhi FK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% DRAW 31.6% AWAY 32.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.8% 2.67 DRAW 31.2% 2.97 AWAY 34.0% 2.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Sumqayit

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Sumqayit Shamakhi FK

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours FK Sumqayit, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Sumqayit Shamakhi FK

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Sumqayit Shamakhi FK

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Sumqayit ↓ -0.03 (-1.1%)

Shamakhi FK ↑ +0.02 (+0.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.