FK Kapaz vs Shamakhi FK

04 Sep 2026 · 18:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

FK Kapaz

Shamakhi FK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% DRAW 33.5% AWAY 33.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.4% 2.70 DRAW 32.8% 2.83 AWAY 32.8% 2.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Shamakhi FK

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Kapaz Shamakhi FK

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Shamakhi FK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Kapaz Shamakhi FK

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Kapaz Shamakhi FK

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FK Kapaz ↑ +0.44 (+19.5%)

Shamakhi FK ↓ -0.32 (-10.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.