FK Gabala vs Imisli

04 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

FK Gabala

Imisli

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% DRAW 31.4% AWAY 24.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% 2.12 DRAW 31.0% 3.00 AWAY 25.1% 3.71

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Gabala

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Gabala Imisli

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Gabala Imisli

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Gabala Imisli

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Gabala ↑ +0.10 (+5.0%)

Imisli ↑ +0.11 (+3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.