Maritimo U23 vs Benfica U23

25 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Maritimo U23

Benfica U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.8% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 60.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.9% 5.06 DRAW 22.4% 4.26 AWAY 58.7% 1.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Benfica U23 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maritimo U23 Benfica U23

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Benfica U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maritimo U23 Benfica U23

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maritimo U23 Benfica U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Benfica U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Maritimo U23 ↑ +1.66 (+48.8%)

Benfica U23 ↓ -0.21 (-11.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.