Boca Juniors Reserves vs Quilmes Reserves

04 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.0 pp

Boca Juniors Reserves

Quilmes Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 12.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.9% 1.62 DRAW 25.6% 3.91 AWAY 12.5% 8.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Quilmes Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boca Juniors Reserves Quilmes Reserves

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boca Juniors Reserves Quilmes Reserves

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Boca Juniors Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boca Juniors Reserves Quilmes Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Boca Juniors Reserves ↓ -0.04 (-2.6%)

Quilmes Reserves ↑ +1.65 (+28.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.