Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves vs Rosario Central Reserves

03 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves

Rosario Central Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.3% DRAW 30.2% AWAY 38.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% 3.05 DRAW 30.0% 3.25 AWAY 38.0% 2.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Rosario Central Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves Rosario Central Reserves

Shots 10.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves Rosario Central Reserves

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Rosario Central Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves Rosario Central Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves ↓ -0.05 (-1.6%)

Rosario Central Reserves ↑ +0.46 (+21.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.